QF343 Introduction to Stochastic



Course Catalog Description

Introduction

This course is designed for undergraduate students in Quantitative Finance. In order for students to be able to price derivatives, they must first understand the behavior of the underlying. To this end, the students will need to understand how many of the most common stock models are created and utilized. At the core of this is understanding Brownian motion and other adapted stochastic processes from a conceptual level, which requires the knowledge of quadratic variation, martingales, and filtrations. Using these building blocks, many different structures of stock and interest rate processes can be developed: geometric Brownian motion, stochastic volatility models, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, and Vasicek to name a few. After this course, the students will be able to price simple derivatives based on some of these models. In addition, through the use of stochastic integration, students will have a better understanding of portfolio valuation. By the end of this course, the student will be able to derive in its entirety the Black-Scholes-Merton European option pricing formula for Geometric Brownian Motion. The students are supposed to have a strong background in applied mathematics (analysis and calculus) and probability at an undergraduate level. Any student who does not already have this previous knowledge will have much greater difficulty learning the material.


Campus Fall Spring Summer
On Campus X X
Web Campus

Instructors

Professor Email Office
Thomas Lonon
Tlonon@stevens.edu Altorfer 303

More Information

Course Outcomes

By the end of this course, the students will be able to:

  • Price derivative securities using the Binomial Asset Pricing Model
  • Classify stochastic processes as martingales, Markov, or both/neither
  • Simplify stochastic (Ito) integrals
  • Determine the differentials of functions of stochastic processes
  • Derive Black-Scholes-Merton’s European option pricing model

Course Resources

Textbook

Stochastic Calculus for Finance vol I and II, by Steven E. Shreve, Springer Finance, 2004, ISBN-13: 978-0387249681 (vol I) and 978-0387401010 (vol II).

Additional References

Optional Readings:

Introduction to Probability Models, 10th edition, by Sheldon M. Ross, Academic Press, 2009, ISBN-10: 0123756863, ISBN-13: 978-0123756862.

Probability and Random Processes, by Geoffrey Grimmett and David Stirzaker, Oxford University Press 2001. Stochastic Differential Equations, by Bernt Oksendal, 6th edition, 2010, ISBN-10: 3540047581, ISBN-13: 978-3540047582. Introduction to the Mathematics of Financial Derivatives, by Salih N Neftci, 2nd ed, Associated Press, 2000, ISBN 0125153929.


Grading

Grading Policies

Assignments: There will be weekly homework assignments throughout the semester, with problems inspired from your textbook and on necessary skills.

The assignments and their weights are as shown below:

  • Homework - 30%
  • Midterm - 30%
  • Final Exams - 40%
  • TOTAL - 100%

Please note that your grade will be determined solely on the work you present over the course of the semester. No consideration such as your desire for a better grade for academic standing or job offers will be considered.

Extra Credit: On some of the homework assignments and possibly on the exams, there will be the occasional extra credit problem. This is the only source of extra credit for the course. There are no "extra assignments" that students can do to raise their average outside of the ones assigned. There are no exceptions, don't even bother coming to me and asking about extra work at the end of the semester, as I will only direct your attention to this part of the syllabus.


Lecture Outline

Topic Reading
Week 1 One Period Binomial Asset Pricing Models:

Introduction of the simplest asset pricing model

Ch. 1 in vol. I
Week 2 Multi-period Model and Finite Probability Spaces:

Expand the model to include multiple time steps and define what all is involved in working in a finite probability space.

Ch. 1 and 2 in vol. I
Week 3 Expectation in Binomial Asset Pricing Models:

How to utilize expectation in the context of these asset pricing models

Ch. 1 and 2 in vol. I
Week 4 Martingales and Markov:

Definition and use of martingales and Markov processes in the context of a finite probability space.

Ch. 2 in vol. I
Week 5 Stopping Times and Random Walks:

Evolving our model to represent random walks and what is meant by a stopping time (and how/why we use them)

Ch. 4 & 5 in vol. I
Week 6 Scaled Symmetric Random Walks and Brownian Motion Ch. 3 in vol. II
Week 7 Quadratic Variation and Markov Property:

What is meant by quadratic variation, why it wasn’t seen before and what we mean by Markov property now that we are in a continuous probability space

Ch. 3 in vol. II
Week 8 Midterm
Week 9 Reflection Prop. and Cont. Passage Times:

How we can use the reflection property to develop first passage times for Brownian motions in the context of a continuous probability space.

Ch. 3 in vol. II
Week 10 Stochastic Calculus Integrands:

What is meant by a stochastic integral and how we can represent/simplify one?

Ch. 4 in vol. II
Week 11 Ito’s Formula:

Use Ito to take differentials and functions of stochastic processes, provide examples of stochastic interest rate models

Ch. 4 in vol. II
Week 12 Black-Scholes, Levy:

Show the development of the Black-Scholes-Merton model and provide an alternative formulation of Brownian motion.

Ch. 4 in vol. II
Week 13 Change of Measure:

Use the change of measure to transition from the actual to the risk-neutral probability space in order to price derivatives.

Ch. 5 in vol. II
Week 14 Review & Catch-up