FA541 Applied Statistics with Applications in Finance
Course Catalog Description
Introduction
Campus | Fall | Spring | Summer |
---|---|---|---|
On Campus | X | X | |
Web Campus | X | X |
Instructors
Professor | Office | |
---|---|---|
Ionut Florescu
|
ifloresc@stevens.edu | Babbio 603 |
More Information
Course Description
Prerequisites
A sound understanding of probability gathered through an undergraduate
class such as MA222 or QF 212 or equivalent. FE540 is a co-requisite if
such knowledge has gaps. Students have to know to program using R. Please
consider taking FE515 if R is an issue.
Course Outcome
This course will allow the students to:
- Understand and summarize complex data sets through graphs and numerical measures.
- Calculate estimates of parameters using fundamental statistical methods.
- Measure the “goodness” of an estimator by computing confidence intervals.
- Apply statistical tests to experimental observations.
- Estimate and calibrate parameters of mathematical models using real data.
- Study relationships between two or more random variables.
- Be prepared for more advanced applied statistical courses.
Course Resources
Textbook
- D. Moore, G. McCabe and B. Craig, Introduction to the practice of Statistics, 10th edition, W.H. Freeman and Co, 2021
- Michael Kutner, Christopher Nachtsheim, John Neter, William Li: Applied Linear Statistical Models, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2013
- Peter Daalgard, Introductory Statistics with R,Springer; 2002. Corr. 3d printing edition January 9, 2004.
- Ionut Florescu and Ciprian Tudor, Handbook of Probability, Wiley, 2013 (for reference)
- Ionut Florescu Probability and Stochastic Processes, Wiley, 2014 (for reference)
- John C. Hull, Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, Prentice Hall, 2022, 11th edition,(for reference - you may get any of the older editions).
Additional References
- Peter Daalgard. Introductory Statistics with R. Springer, 2004.
- Ionut Florescu Probability and Stochastic Processes. Wiley, 2014.
- Michael Kutner, Christopher Nachtsheim, John Neter, and William Li. Applied Linear Statistical Models. McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2013.
- D. Moore, G. McCabe, and B. Craig. Introduction to the practice of Statistics. W.H. Freeman and Co, 11 edition, 2021.
Grading
Grading Policies
The final grade will be determined upon the student’s performance in the Homework and Exams. We will have several assignments (each weighted
equally toward your final grade) during the course of the semester. Please
use the .pdf format for submitting assignment files. You should be able
to transform any document into a pdf file. You can use Adobe Acrobat -
should be free to Stevens students as far as I know (please call the students help desk), or a simple alternative is to save as a pdf file from the print
menu. I personally write all my documents in LATEX. You can also use
https://www.overleaf.com/project to produce collaborative documents.
In this course, in addition to assignments and exams the students will be
required to design and produce a project which contains a data component
and is applicable to their primary field of study. Any project topic needs to be approved by the instructor and requires applying statistical methods learned in this course. This project (written report and the presentations) will count as the final exam in this course. As such it is an important component of the course that should not be taken lightly.
Late assignments will not be accepted under any circumstances without
prior notice and permission of the instructor. If outside circumstances are
affecting your ability to perform in the course, you must contact me before
you fall behind.
Generally the grade distribution follows the following percentages.
- Assignments 30%
- Midterm 25%
- Final Presentation 10%
- Final Project 30%
- Attendance, class participation 5%
Lecture Outline
Topic | Reading | |
---|---|---|
Week 1 | General statistical methods Looking at Data. Descriptive graphical measures. Numerical measures. Sampling distributions. Intro to R. Distributions in R. |
Notes, Ch 1, 2 in [4] Ch 1-6 in [1] |
Week 2 | Methods of finding estimators, Maximum likelihood,Method of moments, Bayesian estimators. | Ch. 8 in [2] Hwk 1 due |
Week 3 | Conditional Maximum likelihood estimators. Approximations. Applications to financial models. |
Lecture notes Hwk 2 due |
Week 4 | One variable statistical inference Confidence intervals and Testing Hypotheses on Population Means and Proportions |
Ch 6, 7.1, 8.1 in [4] Project decision |
Week 5 | Two Population tests for Means and Proportions | Ch 7.2, 8.2 in [4] Hwk 3 due |
Week 6 | Tests of Population Variance, Two Populations Review | Ch 7.3 in [4] Hwk 4 due |
Week 7 | Midterm Examination | |
Week 8 | Categorical Data Analysis. One and Two Way Tables. Goodness of Fit test. Independence Test. | Ch 9 in [4] Part 1 in [3] |
Week 9 | Regression (cont) . Least Squares Fitting. Analysis and Testing. Prediction. Multiple Regression. Confidence intervals ANOVA table, multiple R2, residuals | Part 2 in [3] Project update Hwk 5 due |
Week 10 | Selection of variables. Correlation analysis, Variance inflation factors. Nonlinear regression. Generalized Additive Models. | Part 2 in [3] |
Week 11 | Analysis of variance (ANOVA) models. Applications. Expansion to mixture models Analysis of Covariance | Part 4 in [3] Ch 12, 13 in [4] Ch 14 in [4] Hwk 6 due |
Week 12 | Applications Logistic regression. Intro to Risk measures: VaR, CVaR and CoVar |
Lecture notes |
Week 13 | Bootstrap Method and Permutation tests. Cross-validation methods. |
Ch 16 in [4] Hwk 7 due |
Week 14 | Applications. Review and catching up | |
Finals Week | Project Presentation |